Originally posted by: rickyproctor27
Yes, very well put. Quite hope re-instating.
Are you happy with the nominations now that they are out? I think we forecasted BA to the tilt where we hadn't picked up enough chatter about Vikrant online to make it to the nominations and it turned out that way. You were right about Deepika for Pathaan.
Gong for 12th Fail and Vinod Chopra for Film and Director but since they are both nominated in Critics as well, Jawan and KJo could win this too.
I want SRK to win for Jawan but have an actual feeling 50% Ranbir might win it considering he's performing at the event. Won't be too disappointed if he or Ranveer or Vicky win too. The Actress and Music category will define Filmfare this year I think. They can play safe with Alia winning Popular and Rani for Critics or go bold/authentic and give Rani popular with Shefali critics or Kiara popular and Rani critics. I want Rani to win popular and Shefali/Saiyami for critics. I know you don't like Alia and I'd like to ask why? but I am never disappointed when she wins as I love her as an actress.
Vicky/Vikrant/Pankaj/Manoj any one will do for BA critics. Vicky was my vote for BSA and he should win. Surprising that Dimple didnt make it (I voted for he in Tu Jhooti) to the nominations so going for Ratna/Jaya there given I was thinking of Jaya in the Negative category. I feel Deepika has lost out on a chance for an award this year as her best shot was BSA for Jawaan. She was great in that role. I think her role in Jawaan was equal in duration to that of Vicky in Dunki so given Vicky got the nomination, I would not have been surprised if she had been nominated as well.
Music I genuinely believe Animal had the best with the background score as well. But have a feeling Pritam might win for RARKPK. Going for Animal for Music, Bhupinder for Arjan Vailly and Shilpa for Chaleya in playback singer categories. Karan Johar's omnipresence around these awards and campaigning is not a good sign for me especially knowing he cares more than anyone else for the validation from these awards. Even today Alia has put her traditional story on Instagram on 12th Fail with glowing praise for the film and the entire team of 12th Fail.
I'm glad you feel that way now.
I'm mostly happy with the nominations. I wish Dunki had scored more nominations besides the acting ones and I feel bad that Vikrant had gotten a BA nod but as we discussed on here, it seemed likely he would be snubbed and only get recognition in the critics category. Deepika for Pathaan I took for granted because of the film's success and her own stardom. Her real nomination should have been for Jawan.
If 12th Fail doesn't win the popular awards then I can see KJo winning Best Director but I don't think he'll win Best Film. I believe Jawan will likely win then. Atlee I feel does not have enough support in Bollywood to win Best Director otherwise I would say he could win too.
I think it'll be SRK between 2023 being his year, Filmfare being his homeground, the double nominations, plus Filmfare not having honored him for over a decade now. I'd be fine with Ranveer or Vicky winning though if the rumors about the Prime sponsorship getting Ranveer a win are true. I think Vicky or Vikrant will win the Critics Award but with Vikrant not having enough of a push as I expected, it seems that Vicky might be the victor for the Critics Award. I can see him walking out of Filmfare with the Critics BA and BSA for Dunki. I think BA will go to either Rani, Deepika, or Taapsee. Mrs. Chatterjee was a sizeable enough hit that she could win the popular award and leave the critics award for someone else. Kiara was good too but I don't think there's enough momentum behind her as an actress or her film for her to win. In a weak year she could have had a chance but this year, the nomination alone is her award. When I watched the film, it felt like one of her first serious roles where she wanted to be taken seriously as an actress so I had it pegged even then that she would get a nomination.
Alia has never excited me as an actress. I had a bad first impression of her in SOTY where she was the weakest link and it's scientifically proven that it takes multiple positive encounters afterwards to change your bad first impression into a good one. She's good in some roles but I've never been moved by her as an actress except in Gangubai but even there I felt she was miscast. She was good in Rocky Aur Rani and I liked the movie but I don't think her performance is an award-winning one. I wouldn't have a problem with her if she wasn't pushed so much by the industry (meaning KJo) when all the veteran actresses, and even some of her contemporaries like Parineeti, are far more talented and exciting. Wanting to become Mrs. Kapoor does not endear her to me either and shows her to be a very shallow individual who will regret this decision one day like Neetu Singh seems to (or Deepika and Katrina before her). I also feel she lacks starpower or that IT factor that every great star needs to have. This is especially apparent with her because of her lack of looks. It's very hard to go from Aishwarya, Deepika, Katrina, Madhuri, Sridevi, Urmila, etc. to her. Even Rani and Kajol, who sometimes get derided for being more plain than beautiful and lacking in looks, I always felt were both stunning onscreen. Priyanka I always thought was stunning onscreen as well back in the 2000s but I've noticed on here that while people recognize her as a talented actress, people don't consider her a stunner.
I forgot that Dimple was snubbed. I was rooting for her for Pathaan. But I'm expecting Jaya to win this because Filmfare loves her. Maybe Shabana but I think Jaya's role was the more flashy one. Deepika not getting a Jawan nod was shocking especially when she was getting Best Actress recognition for that previously. She could easily have won that award this year had she been nominated but I actually think the lack of nomination was from her part. My guess is that Deepika felt she is too big of a star to be recognized for a supporting role. To get a supporting nomination would have been an insult to her so she didn't even want her name in that category and only wanted the recognition for Pathaan. It's not a common mentality in this day and age but in classic Hollywood, this was the norm where if you were a lead actor or actress, getting a nomination in the supporting category would have been a grave insult and a complete no-no. Rosalind Russell famously could have won an Oscar for Picnic for her supporting role but she refused because she said she was a lead actress. All her nominations prior had been as a Lead Actress. If that's not the reason, the only other thing I can think of is that it seemed bad if Deepika got a nomination for Best Supporting Actress but Nayanthara didn't get a nomination for Best Actress so it was decided not to nominate either. But I do think the real reason was that Deepika didn't want to be recognized in a supporting category.
I have no idea about who might win for music though. I'd like to be pleasantly surprised for that.
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