WE NEED TO FREAKING FLATTEN DA CURVE, in above corona virus Trajectory graph,… ( I posted pic on last page )
Here people are telling somethings which even world scientists are not confirming.
If so sure, please help medical health workers in contaminating the disease and not by criticizing.
Things working for one country will not work for others.
In S.Korea people will not spit in public (I think) but here even yesterday I saw people spitting in public while traveling. They are not worried it will fall of people travel ling back... India is different. Indians are different.
Also India is big country and 2nd most populous. Instead of Modi announcing something, the respective state govt's can also put orders. Already TN and other govt's are doing them. In US also respective state govt are doing them.It is not easy to control 130 Crore people at a single shot. Even controlling 5people by a person is a difficult job (people working in IT or manufacturing know how difficult people management is).
There seem to good support for the 1 day curfew..people have listened to Govt's request...but this is seriously not enough to break the chain...no use of trial and error method....
SG is going in right direction, but it needs to be more faster and stricter.....Govt needs to come up with minimum 2 week action plan and it can further be extended....
keep only essential services (milk/groceries/veggies) and close all other shops etc...run skeletal services (buses/trains) for public transportation for emergency travels and close other forms of transport including autos/share autos....
For god sake, close TASMAC (in kerala, they organize minimum distance spacing while buying drinks from alchohol shop...they should be ashamed to do that and chest thump their orderliness)
State Govt can think of extending monetary support for all the"white" ration card holders...most likely it will cover the daily wage set of peoples whose misery can be reduced some what if not totally....
There is also one more thing,…. You cannot just close TASMAC. Alcohol recovery is extremely difficult. If addicts completely stop drinking in a day, they will have serious health problems. Not what we want now. Let them drink away destroying their liver slowly. Though,…. We have difficult situation at hand...Govt's resources including Police should spend their time and effort at better things than managing crowd in TASMAC....so, nothing wrong in closing TASMAC for the same time other non essential services are closed....
Union Govt/SG should think of interest free loans for MSMEs and small business houses so that they have cash flow and can pay salaries to their employees....
I am leaving out the bigger organized sectors which will anyway get focus from Govt....
Indian Railways cancels all train services(passengers/express) etc till 31st March....
Not sure if this also includes suburban services in Mumbai, Kolkata,Chennai....Railways has mentioned only cargo trains will operate....
Is this the first time railways as a whole is shutting down across the nation? - well, nothing precious than life !
Testing scenario is too bad in India..spoke to my relative doctors they are only testing people with high symptoms and not testing the cases where there might be community spread...among world level we tested one of the least populace for COVID..the more the testing the more the positive cases ,this has been proved right when US went for full fledged testing (with the available oftesting kits and budgets since few days)..
pray to god there is no such viral spread and the numbers are of less deviation...at this juncture we should go for full lock down,not sure why PM announced only sunday to be a non-outdoor day,will the contagious equation be less on the other 6 days,makes no sense to me...
Modi has just given solace. No reforms or measures. Looks like awareness of the pandemic or the ability to contain or curtail the chain of spread is low in India and shall not improve either. With a young population, they have less to worry about considering the immune system of the youth in large. But what about the elders. Life is a life afterall. There should have been a 14 day curfew. However,…. This is a common misunderstanding! the young people do get infected, only that they do not show symptoms. They can still infect others as they shed virus during their daily activities. Most will not even know that they are infected and are infecting others.... and when they infect any older people, it becomes serious for them. only about 2% of people younger than 40show any obvious symptoms of infection. That doesn't mean young people don't get infected. They can get infected and spread it faster in the community. That is why this covid 19 virus has been so dangerous!
Young people still need to stay home and practice hand washing and social distancing!
One more point,….
It is true that flu and some respiratory viral infections fade off in summers/warmer weather. But, there is not enough evidence thatcovid-19 will do the same. Researchers are still debating it. It is (was, until yesterday) summer in southern hemisphere and the SARS Coronairus-2 has been spreading in Australia and Brazil. It is spreading even in warmer places in the northern hemisphere like Singapore.
Technically, virus cannot be killed by heat, because they are not a living thing in the first place. Virus is biological particle that need a host cell to become/be alive. Our bodies are around 37c and viruses can "live" in that temperature. When they come out of a cell they are "viable" only for a limited amount of time....some viruses for hours, and some for days.After that they dry out.
But, hot weather could slow the rate of spread. Viruses that transmit via droplets from breath, cough and sneeze of infected people, can slow down in spread during hot and humid. In humid condition, the droplets become big and hence they fall to the ground very quickly minimizing the time they hang in air. However, people still can get infected indirectly by touching surfaces like door knobs, hand rails etc. Hence the spread rate decreases compared to cold dry conditions when the droplets are lighter.
Second, Human behavior. In cold and temperate countries, people stay mostly indoors during winter. This puts them in close contact with each other at work,school, markets etc. They air within the buildings are not circulated as freely as out-doors. This increases the spread rate. People start spending more time outdoors in spring and they get more sun during the summer, which increases vitamin D and immunity. Things are much different in tropical and warm countries, where these infections seem to peak during monsoon/rainy seasons.
Whatever it is we have to wait and see. SARS cov-1 outbreak, in 2003, did not die because of summer. It did because of human intervention - active government policies, rigorous screening, quarantine and treatment of the affected, and responsible public participation. Proactive outbreak management policies,preparednedness and planning of the health services, and people committing to hand washing, social distancing (or self isolation if infected and with mild symptoms), covering when coughing/sneezing and personal hygiene will make this outbreak end.
I hope we don't go for the total lockdown of cities unless until it's absolutely necessary.
People and the govt need to prepare themselves if that need arises!
It'll have a big impact on the poor section on the society that depends on daily income.
It will strain the economy, for sure...but govt can lessen the blow to people with its actions, if it is swift and appropriate.
The US has been really slow in medical preparedness and has been horrendous in the way it has prepared for the economic blow. The market reacted to this terrible management and people have been seeing their retirement savings evaporate - people have lost almost 30-35% of their money. Every time the president opened the mouth (except one time when he had top CEOs on his side),the market tumbled by 1000 points or so! People have been losing jobs, not getting paid....Now, the same republicans who said handing out money to people is socialism/communism are planning to give up to 2000 dollars for each American in April! With better planning and a competent president, this situation could have been made less damaging.
Now,....@hot summer context..
Indian summer which would be very high usually along 30-40 Celsius might aid in non-spreading of the COVID hopefully(aware that research dont support this ,but didnt denied this as well )
if im correct the virus droplet will last only minutes (instead of hours) in open space and on objects ..we have seen water evaporate very quickly in the hot Indian summer relative to monsoon or winter season ..would that be an advantage for us. Yess, we can keep the finger crossed,….
I hope so,… I Pray so,….
All I know is,…freaking China, last time gave us SAARS and now this baloney,…. A 15 lb of shitt in a 5 lb of beg, to each one individually !! Sigh !
btw,…......... Where is Yogi ji,........? Muvaavja vasool keejeeye !
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Which countries are flattening their curves?
https://www.visualcapitalist.com/infection-trajectory-flattening-the-covid19-curve/
Edited by Himalaya10 - 6 years ago
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