The Asian champions can take solace from the fact that New Zealand put up a shoddy performance with the bat in Sharjah against Australia.
Considering the venue has been tough on the batters, Sri Lanka's small hope would rest on their bowlers keeping their opponents quiet.
New Zealand wouldn't worry much about their bowling attack though, after dismantling India for just 102 in the first game and picking eight Australian wickets.
Amelia Kerr and Rosemary Mair have been among the wickets, but New Zealand would want runs as well from the former.
If they brush aside Sri Lanka and then see Australia losing to India, New Zealand's destiny will still be in their own hands, considering they will know exactly what they need in their final fixture to make it through to the last four.
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