Coronavirus (COVID-19) Updates || Note: pg 55,132|| - Page 49

It was also pre- planned, well-played a cunning and Shrewd game by China,.... ! Baaystard !

.

WELL PLAYED CHINA....

SCENE 1 :

The curtain opens: China becomes ill, enters a "crisis" and paralyzes its trade. The curtain closes.

.

SCENE II.

The curtain opens: The Chinese currency is devalued. They do not do anything. The curtain closes.

.

SCENE III.

The curtain opens:: Due to the lack of trade of companies from Europe and the USA that are based in China, their shares fall 40% of their value.

.

SCENE IV.

The curtain opens:: The world is ill, China buys 30% of the shares of companies in Europe and the US at a very low price. The curtain closes.

.

SCENE V.

The curtain opens: China has controlled the disease and owns companies in Europe and the US. And he decides that these companies stay in China and earn $ 20,000Billions. The curtain closes. How is the play called?

.

SCENE VI:

Checkmate!

------

ReAmazing but true

Two videos have passed between yesterday and today that convinced me of something I suspected, but had no basis. It was just my speculation. Now I am convinced that the coronavirus was purposely propagated by the Chinese themselves.

.

At first they were too prepared. Three weeks after the start of the roll, 14 days and a 12,000-bed hospitals were already under construction. And they really built them in two weeks.

Awesome.

.

Yesterday they announced that they had stopped the epidemic. They appear in videos celebrating, they announce that they even have a vaccine. How could they create it so quickly without having all the genetic information? Well if you are the owner of the formula it is not difficult at all.

.

And today I just saw a video that explains how Den Xiao Ping gave the west a half stick. Due to the coronavirus, the actions of Western companies in China fell dramatically. China I just hope, when they went down enough they bought them. Now the companies, Created by the USA and Europe in China with all the technology put in by these exchanges and their capital they passed into the hands of China, which is now rising with all that technological potential and will be able to set prices at will to sell everything they need to the West. How are you?

.

None of this could have happened by chance. China who cared that a few old men died? Fewer old-age pensions to pay, but the loot has been huge. And right now the West is financially defeated, in crisis and stunned by the disease. And without knowing what to do.

.

Masterfully diabolic. It had to be the communists. |

Adding to this, they are now the single largest owners of US treasury with 1.18 trillion holding surpassing Japan.

.

An instrument that has seen the most rally

One ☝ prospective & Analogy

----------------------------////-//////

.

How come Russia & North Korea have Low or Zero incidence of Covid- 19 ?

Is it because they are staunch allies of China

.

On the other hand USA / South Korea / United Kingdom / France / Italy / Spain and Asia are severely hit

.

How come Wuhan is suddenly free from the deadly virus?

.

China says that the drastic initial measures that they took were very stern and Wuhan was locked down to contain the spread to other areas

.

Why Beijing was not hit ? Why only Wuhan?

It is interesting to ponder upon.. right ?

.

Well ..Wuhan is open for business now

Covid - 19 needs to be seen in the backdrop of the arm twisting of China by USA in the trade war

America and all the above mentioned countries are devastated financially

Soon American economy will collapse as planned by China.

China knows it CANNOT defeat America militarily as USA is at present THE MOST POWERFUL country in the world.

So use the virus...to cripple the economy and paralyse the nation and its Defense capabilities.

I am sure Nancy Pelosi got a part in this.... to topple Trump....

Lately President Trump has always been telling of how the GREAT American economy was improving on all fronts and jobs were coming back to the USA

.

The only way to destroy his vision of making AMERICA GREAT AGAIN is to create an ECONOMIC HAVOC.

Nancy Pelosi was unable to bring down Trump through impeachment.....so work along with China to destroy Trump by releasing a virus.

.

Wuhan's epidemic was a showcase.

At the peak of the virus epidemic....China's President Xi Jinping...just wore a simple RM1 facemask to visit those effected areas.

As President he should have been covered from head to toe.....but that was not the case.

.

He was already injected to resist any harm from the virus....that means a cure was already in place before the virus was released

.

China's vision is to control the World ECONOMY by buying up stocks now from countries facing the brink of severe ECONOMIC COLLAPSE.....Later China will announce that their Medical Researchers have found a cure to destroy the virus

.

Now China shall OWN the stocks of All Western Alliances and these countries will soon be slave to their NEW MASTER..... CHINA

------

THIS IS A FORWARD RECEIVED

LETS WAIT AND WATCH

IF US DOES ACTUALLY REPLICATE THE INDIA

THEN THE INFO WOULD BE CORRECT

.

Donald Trump calls Narendra Modi for Indian intervention in USA after IG and FB live videos of people at 5 PM on 22 Mar 2020 went viral. Based on Modi's deep scientific understanding of the situation, the entire country came together for spiritually cleansing Bharat of Coronavirus during the Revati phase of the Nakshatra.

.

Trump had supported Modi by providing a hotline of NASA satellite that monitor the cosmic hum, to the PMO. Modi was himself present in the Government War Room during the national chanting along with the Cabinet Ministers. Trump witnessed the spectacle via videoconferencing.

.

Insiders say that Trump got emotional when he realised how the world's only superpower had failed in containing the virus when all they had to do was to look up to the spiritual capital of the world.

.

Both geostationary as well as Polar orbiting satellite clusters were able to pick up the disturbance on their Doppler sensors as the collective prayers of 1.3 billion Indians matched the resonant frequency of the diurnal multipath propagation over the Indian subcontinent. Scientists say that if the vibrations were so strong enough to be picked up by satellites, it would definitely have created a ducting effect in the lower troposphere which would either trap the virus in a "continental duct" or would have columned the virus towards the stratosphere.

.

India can now breathe easy. The next week's curfew is just to avoid a few rogue virus spores that avoid the duct. On 31 Mar, the Nation will come together again and hymn the last remain traces away. The time chosen is such that Mars will be at the most acute angle with the Longitude in the Sub-Continent. This will not just provide better ducting but also provide maximum separation from "Shani"

.

Yet again, India has proved it's worth to the world. What people laugh as "Jugaad" is actually ingenious and simple solution that have been passed on to us through generations.

.

USA is now frantically planning to organise a nationwide chanting as soon as possible. Trump has also directed UN to make Om an internationally protected symbol.

FORTUNELINE

EVERY QUESTION IS ANSWERABLE

.

Keep your heart open and think of others and try not to be the fear.

.

ज्‍योतिषशास्त्र अनुसार जानिए क्‍यों फैला कोरोना और कब मिलेगी राहत

.

चीन के वुहान शहर से सामने आया कोरोना वायरस आज पूरे विश्वभर में चर्चा के चरम पर है और एक महामारी का रूप ले चुका है। लाखों लोग इस वायरस से प्रभावित हो चुके हैं। कोरोना वायरस के रूप में शुरू हुई महामारी लगातार बढ़ती जा रही है। भारत में भी इसके बहुत से मामले सामने आने लगे हैं, लेकिन लोगों के मन में एक ही सवाल है कि इस वायरस से कब राहत मुक्‍ति मिलेगी। ज्योतिष विज्ञान की दृष्‍टि से देखें तो इस समय में कोरोना वायरस का सामने आना एवं महामारी का रूप लेना ये मात्र कोई संयोग नहीं है बल्कि इसके पीछे बहुत विशेष ज्योतिषीय कारण और वर्तमान ग्रह स्थितियां हैं। इसी वजह से कोरोना वायरस विश्वस्तर पर एक महामारी के रूप में फैलता जा रहा है।

.

ये ग्रह हैं संक्रामक बीमारियों के जिम्‍मेदार

.

ज्योतिष में राहु और केतु दोनों को संक्रमण (बैक्टीरिया, वायरस) इंफेक्शन से होने वाली सभी बीमारियों और छिपी हुई बीमारियों का ग्रह माना गया है। बृहस्पति जीव और जीवन का कारक ग्रह है जो हम सभी व्यक्तियों का प्रतिनिनधित्व करता है इसलिए जब भी बृहस्पति और राहु या बृहस्पति और केतु का योग होता है तब ऐसे समय में संक्रामक रोग और ऐसी बीमारिया फैलती हैं जिन्हें चिहि्नत करना अथवा समाधान कर पाना बहुत मुश्किल होता है पर इसमें भी खास बात ये है कि राहु के द्वारा होने वाली बीमारियों का समाधान आसानी से मिल जाता है, लेकिन केतु को एक गूढ़ और रहस्यवादी ग्रह माना गया है इसलिए जब भी बृहस्पति और केतु का योग होता है तो ऐसे में इस तरह के रहस्मयी संक्रामक रोग सामने आते हैं जिनका समाधान आसानी से नहीं मिल पाता और ऐसा ही हो रहा है इस समय कोरोना वायरस के केस में।

.

ऐसे समझिए कोरोना वायरस के कारण

.

मार्च 2019 से ही केतु धनु राशि में चल रहा है लेकिन चार नवम्बर 2019 को बृहस्पति का प्रवेश भी धनु राशि में हो गया था जिससे बृहस्पति और केतु का योग बन गया था जो के रहस्मयी संक्रामक रोगों को उत्पन्न करता है। चार नवम्बर को बृहस्पति और केतु का योग शुरू होने के बाद कोरोना वायरस का पहला केस चीन में नवम्बर के महीने में ही सामने आया था। यानि के नवम्बर में बृहस्पति-केतु का योग बनने के बाद ही कोरोना वायरस एक्टिव हुआ। इसके बाद एक और नकारात्मक ग्रहस्थिति बनी जो था 26 दिसंबर को होने वाला सूर्य-ग्रहण जिसने कोरोना वायरस को एक महामारी के रूप में बदल दिया। 26 दिसंबर को हुआ सूर्य ग्रहण समान्य नहीं था क्योंकि इस सूर्य ग्रहण के दिन छःग्रहों के (सूर्य, चन्द्रमा, शनि बुध बृहस्पति, केतु) एकसाथ होने से ष्ठग्रही योग बन रहा था जिससे ग्रहण का नकारात्मक प्रभाव बहुत तीव्र हो गया था। भारत में इसका प्रभाव सीएए और एनआरसी के विरोध-प्रदर्शनों में की गयी हिंसा के रूप में दिखा। साथ ही कोरोना वायरस के मामले भी बढ़ते गए। कुल मिलाकर नवम्बर में केतु-बृहस्पति का योग बनने पर कोरोना वायरस सामने आया और 26 दिसंबर को सूर्य ग्रहण के बाद इसने एक बड़ी महामारी का रूप धारण कर लिया।

.

इससे पहले भी ऐसे ग्रह योग ने मचाई थी तबाही

.

सन 1918 में स्पैनिश फ्लू नाम से एक महामारी फैली थी जिसकी शुरुआत स्पेन से हुई थी। इस महामारी से दुनिया में करोड़ों लोग संक्रमित हुए थे। उस समय भी बृहस्पति-केतु का योग बना हुआ था। सन 1991 में ऑस्ट्रेलिया में माइकल एंगल नाम का बड़ा कम्प्यूटर वायरस सामने आया था जिसने इंटरनेट और कम्यूटर फील्ड में वैश्‍विक स्‍तर पर बड़े नुकसान किये थे और उस समय भी गोचर में बृहस्पति-केतु का योग बना हुआ। सन 2005 में एच-5 एन-1 नाम से एक बर्डफ्लू फैला था और उस समय में भी गोचर में बृहस्पति-केतु का योग बना हुआ था। ऐसे में जब भी बृहस्पति-केतु का योग बनता है उस समय में बड़े संक्रामक रोग और महामारियां सामने आती हैं। 2005 में जब बृहस्पति-केतु योग के दौरान बर्डफ्लू सामने आया था तब बृहस्पति-केतु का योग पृथ्वी तत्व राशि में होने से यह एक सीमित एरिया में ही फैला था जबकि चार नवम्बर को बृहस्पति-केतु का योग अग्नि तत्व राशि (धनु) में बना है जिस कारण कोरोना वायरस आग की गति से पूरे विश्वभर में फैलता जा रहा है।

.

तो इस समय मिलेगी कोरोना वायरस से राहत

.

नवम्बर में शुरू हुए बृहस्पति-केतु के योग और दिसंबर में हुए सूर्य ग्रहण के कारण पिछले चार महीनो से कोरोना वायरस तेजी फ़ैल रहा है और वैज्ञानिकों और चिकित्‍सकों को भी इसका कोई ठोस समाधान नजर नहीं आ रहा है। ज्योतिष के जनारिये से देखें तो आने वाले 29 मार्च को बृहस्पति मकर राशि में प्रवेश होगा जिससे पिछले चार महीनो से चल रहा बृहस्पति-केतु का योग खत्‍म हो जाएगा। ऐसे में 29 मार्च के बाद से कोरोना वायरस के अटैक से राहत मिलना शुरू हो जाएगी और इसके संक्रमण का प्रभाव कम होना शुरू हो जाएगा। 14 अप्रैल को सूर्य का मेष राशि में प्रवेश होगा जिसके बाद वैज्ञानिकों को कोरोना वायरस का कोई ना कोई एंटीडोट मिलेगा। इस स्‍थिति में कुल मिलाकर 29 मार्च के बाद एक से डेढ़ महीने के अंदर इस महामारी का प्रभाव भी कम होने की उम्‍मीद है।

.

आपने ही घर में सुचीर्भुत होकर महामृत्युंजय जाप करो या सुनो.

.

I can recommend to everyone water boiled with tulsi, ginger and turmeric to fight the infection of corona.

.

लखनऊ से बड़ी खबर

एक बाइक पर दो लोगों के चलने पर रोक

कार में सिर्फ दो लोगो की अनुमति

एक ड्राइविंग सीट और दूसरा पीछे बैठेगा

आदेश नहीं मानेगा उसकी गाड़ी होगी सीज।

.

बिग ब्रेकिंग न्यूज़ -- लॉकडाउन का पालन न करने वालो पर होगी कानूनी कार्यवाई

लखनऊ की कमिश्नरेट पुलिस ने जारी किए आदेश

लॉकडाउन का उलंघन करने वालो पर दर्ज होगी FIR

IPC की धारा 188 और 271 के तहत दर्ज होगी FIR

अब लॉकडाउन में बेवजह घूमना किसी को भी पढ़ सकता है महंगा

आज लॉकडाउन का उलंघन कर कई लोग निकले थे घरों से बाहर

सिर्फ इमरजेंसी और मेडिकल संबंधी सेवा में ही घर से निकाले कदम

लखनऊ के पुलिस कमिश्नर ने जारी किए आदेश

प्रशासन,पुलिस,चिकित्सा और खाद्य आपूर्ति के लिए जारी किए गए हेल्पलाइन नंबर

कोरोना मेडिकल के लिए 05552230688,05222230691,05222230333

खाद्य आपुर्ति के लिए 05222622627,9810346713,9415005006

पुलिस के लिए 112

जिला प्रशासन और लखनऊ पुलिस ने जारी किए कंट्रोल रूम के नंबर ।

Kerala announces lockdown till March 31 as 28 fresh COVID-19 cases

https://www.cnet.com/how-to/coronavirus-treatments-everything-you-need-to-know-about-chloroquine-and-vaccines/

https://www.instagram.com/p/B-Gtu9sA83v/

😳

https://twitter.com/business/status/1242315515156103168

https://twitter.com/jburnmurdoch/status/1242225650125193219

Preparing for lockdown

দুই দিনে কিনিয়াছি চারমণ চাল

আশি কেজি আটা আর কুড়ি কেজি ডাল!

আরও কিছু ডাল কিনে করিব মজুদ

ষাট কেজি কিনিয়াছি প্যাকেটের দুধ!

তেল এত কিনিয়াছি – সব ঢালি যদি

নিমেষেই হয়ে যাবে দামোদর নদী।

লবণের বস্তাটা সস্তাই ছিল

ভাবা যায় পেয়ে গেছি বিশ টাকা কিলো?

কিনিয়াছি চা-র পাতা, ঘৃত আর চিনি

মসলার গুঁড়াগুলি ঘুরে ঘুরে কিনি।

পেঁয়াজ-রসুন-আদা বস্তা ভরিয়া

কিনিয়াছি, দুর্দিন স্মরণ করিয়া।

বিস্কুট-চানাচুর-সেমাই আর ম্যাগি

কিনে কিনে ভরিয়াছি তিন-চার ব্যাগই!

আপাতত কিনিয়াছি চারশত ডিম

সামনের দিনে যদি খাই হিমশিম!

মাছ কিনে রাখিয়াছি ডিপ ফ্রিজে ভরে

খাওয়া যাবে দশজনে ছয়মাস ধরে।

সাধ ছিল পুরা পাঁঠা কিনে রাখি ফ্রিজে

পারি নাই সেটা ভেবে দুঃখিত নিজে!

মুদি শেষ এরপর ফার্মেসি যাব

C - VIT কিনব আমি যতগুলো পাব।

হ্যান্ড স্যানিটাইজার একশোটা আমি

অর্ডার দিয়া দিছি হোক যত দামি।

গ্যাসের ওষুধ আর ক্যাপসুল পুদিন

দশ বক্স কিনে আনি চলে বহুদিন !

মুখোস? হিসাবটা মিলাইয়া নিন

ছয়মাসে বাদ যাবে চব্বিশ দিন!

করোনায় মরি আর যাহাতেই মরি

ভাতের অভাবে আমি মরিব না, স্যরি!

https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/politics-and-nation/coronavirus-cases-in-india-live-news-latest-updates-march24/liveblog/74784148.cms

Technical Information

Ongoing COVID-19 pandemic in India:

How deadly is it likely to be?

March 23, 2020 12.15 AM

Last night I was listening to one of the many ongoing TV debates on the current COVID19 pandemic in India. One distinguished public health expert from the US predicted around 300 million cases in India based on certain mathematical models used in the western world. He went further and stated 200 million cases in the best-case scenario! These are huge numbers and probably he went overboard. No doubt, we have the 2nd largest population in the world and have a fragile health infrastructure, but even then, these statements may beviewed as creating panic and flaring unnecessary scare in the community.

Undoubtedly, the current COVID19 outbreak is exceptional and truly

unprecedented. The one attribute that separate COVID19 and other past pandemics is the speed with which it traversed and engulfed almost all countries of the Globe. No other pandemic be it 2003 SARS or 2009 H1N1 flu or the 2015 Zika had gripped the

World as snugly as this outbreak. The whole world has come to a standstill.

Figure 1. SARS CoV2 under electron microscope And India is no exception. As I write this piece, there are around 410 lab-confirmed cases with 8 deaths in India (Figure 2).

Most international health experts are puzzled looking on the Indian tally. They are not able to reconcile the fact that despite being the 2nd most populous country with proximity to China and with a jagged health infrastructure, India could manage to limit the spread of the disease so far. Even neighbour Pakistan has more than double the number of cases with daily escalation than India. It is now more than seven weeks since the first case of the outbreak was reported here. Many health professionals are forecasting India as the next big hotspot of the COVID 19 pandemic.

Then, what is the secret of Indian performance so far? What did India do differently than some other more developed nations could not do? Are the initiative and the pre-emptive steps taken by the government responsible for the current state? Or are these still the early days and the scenario would drastically change in coming weeks with the piling of ICU admissions and deaths? Or is it the sign of the waning of the pandemic?

The answer to these queries is a big No. No doubt, the health ministry acted with some alacrity and launched a massive media blitzkrieg with highest political patronage involving the PM himself, and efficiently ensured isolation and quarantine of suspected people, but despite their best efforts some delay and ‘leakage’ of infected persons took place. Can anyone fathom an effective implementation of ‘social distancing’ in a street of Kolkata where

shoulders are rubbed while walking during peak hours! Then, what key factor has kept the deadly virus at bay so far? And would prevent a déjà vu of the devastation witnessed in some other countries?

Figure 2. Daily number of COVID19 cases in India, Jan 30-March 23. (Source:

https://covidout.in/)

Saving grace :The peculiar environmental/climatic conditions prevailing in India would act as a deterrent to the ‘swift’ transmission of SARS-CoV2. We have past experiences with many other viral outbreaks that could not do as much damage as they did in some other parts of the world. If one study the epidemiology of influenza virus, a respiratory virus with almost similar viral characteristics and route of transmission as the current coronavirus, it is apparent that Indian conditions are not conducive to its rapid diffusion in the population.

Let’s make a comparative analysis of the burden of annual influenza in the US and India. In 2017-18 season, there were an estimated 49 million cases of influenza-like illnesses, 960,000 hospitalisation and 79,000 deaths in the US whereas corresponding estimated figures for India were 16 million, 83 882, and 28, 000 despite having four-times more populous than the US!

One may argue that the current virus is far more transmissible than the flu virus, but if we analyse the ‘basic reproduction number’ or ‘Ro’ it is 2-2.5 for the SARS-CoV2 in China and other severely affected countries which is higher than seasonal flu (Ro: 1-2) but lower than

SARS (Ro: 2-5) (Table 1). One should note that the ‘Ro’ is not a fixed entity, it varies considerably by the environmental conditions, population density and profile of the vulnerable population. Consequently, the SARS-CoV2 may be having a different Ro in India than in Europe or some other countries.

Table 1. Values of Ro and route of transmission of well-known infectious diseases Take the case of another respiratory virus, the measle, which is one of the most contagious viral infection. For measles, the ‘Ro’ is often cited to be 12-18, which means that each

person with measles would, on average, infect 12-18 other people in a totally susceptible population. India had great difficulty in containing measles despite running a large, mass vaccination program for over 35 years. The very high virulence of measles virus was responsible for the intense transmission of the virus in Indian conditions. The SARS-CoV2 is not as lethal as the measles virus is. Even its virulence is far less than the other pandemic viruses like SARS or Ebola virus.

In the current pandemic, the northern parts of both Italy and Iran are more severely affected than other regions that have comparatively more sunny days (Figure 3). Do ultraviolet rays, abundant in sunrays, offer some sort of resistance to the viral transmission? Similarly, the hot, tropical environment in India would have an adverse effect on viral transmission and shedding. In a recently published paper from China, it is noticed that high temperature and high relative humidity significantly reduce the transmission of COVID-19.

The authors conclude that one-degree Celsius increase in temperature and 1% increase in relative humidity lower Ro by 0.0383 and 0.0224, respectively. Similar findings were observed when influenza transmission was studied in tropical countries. The epidemiology of the current pandemic also reflects relative sparing of nations having tropical weather such as most countries in Africa and South America. We may be having a low ‘Ro’ of the currently circulating SARS-CoV2 than in most countries having temperate conditions.

People may argue that the one key difference between seasonal flu and SARS-CoV2 is the zero immunity against the latter since it is a newly introduced virus. But we have a similar experience with swine-flu aka H1N1 flu pandemic in 2009-2010 which was not proved as devastating as feared by the most. That pandemic resulted in total 10,193 cases with 1,035 deaths after one year. Considering the extraordinary, unprecedented steps taken by the

government this time may further limit the damage.

Figure 3. Global distribution of COVID19 cases (Black: Cities with 1,000 or more cases; Purple: Cities with 100 or more cases; Red: Cities with 20 or more cases; Orange: Less than 20 cases; Diamond shape: Cities with deaths) (Source: https://ncov2019.live/)

In India just like many other tropical countries, the preferred route of transmission is feco-oral than the respiratory. Consequently, there is a preponderance of water-borne illnesses than those transmitted by air. Polio transmission exemplifies this phenomenon quite well.

While in the tropical countries, the preferred route of transmission is through ‘feco-oral’ rather than ‘oro-oral’ or pharyngeal route which is the norm in countries with a temperate climate. Thus, a single disease is transmitted differently in different environs. All these factors shall provide hindrances to the smooth transmission of SARS CoV2 and should limit its spread in India.

How deadly is SARS-CoV2?

As per the global data, 13,234 fatalities are reported out of 312,766 total positive cases giving a fatality rate of 4.2%. India, which has strategized to do limited testing until recently, also have around 2% fatality rate. But these figures are quite misleading and do not reflect the true virulence of the virus. As we all know, there is marked variability in the testing strategy of different countries and most countries barring few (like South Korea) have tested only severe cases or those with history of travel to infected countries. Since as many as 30-40% infections may be asymptomatic or having very mild disease, the denominator seems imperfect. Hence, we do not know the exact number of total SARS-CoV-2 infections. In only one instance, the outbreak on Diamond Princess cruise ship in Japan, the death rate was calculated with some precision which came around 1%. But even this might have been an over-estimation since most of the passengers on the ship were elderly people, and some experts have suggested a much lower estimate for the general population that is not much different from seasonal flu.

In the worst-case scenario, the national tally should not go beyond H1N1-pdm2009 (Swine flu) tally with a thousand deaths!

The future projectionsSo, what would be the ultimate course of the current pandemic in India? How many cases and deaths would occur? It is the most difficult query to answer considering these are still early days. But one thing that can be most certainly predicted- it would not go the way it went in Italy or Spain. The reasons enumerated above, and the pattern of the outbreak so far gives us some assurance. Most of the past flu outbreaks in last five years in India have confined to the first 3-4 months, i.e. till March-April. We are already in the 7th week of the outbreak and yet to encounter the huge multiplications of the cases. Neither there is the rapid filling of ICUs with the elderly population. Without resorting to any mathematical modelling and based on past-experience, it can be safely stated that in the worst-case scenario would be repeating the swine-flu tally with a thousand deaths. Those public health experts who are predicting doom for India with 2-3 million deaths are probably not aware of the particular environmental conditions and the course of some recent past pandemics in

India.

--Dr Vipin M. Vashishtha, MD, FIAP. Director & Consultant Pediatrician, Mangla Hospital &

Research Center, Bijnor-246 701 (Uttar Pradesh), India.